Since this year, foreign capital casts travel and media to start the unhealthy trend that calls empty China economy again and again, especially near future money market appears " Qian Huang " the phenomenon was to deepen them to look more decline Chinese judgement. To this, tsinghua university China and Li Daokui of director of world economy research center think, the world is reading Chinese economy by accident, chinese economy still is having very clear point of growth, still have the space that carries constant growth rate and latent capacity. System of Chinese economy banking appeared really a few problems, but these problems can get settlement through a series of reform. Lin Yi's husband also indicates chief economist before world bank, this money market wave motion evolves into the possibility of financial crisis to be done not have bwatch case manufacturerasically.
Bank fluidity is overall do not be in short supply
Since June, the financial orgnaization such as the bank happens infrequent " Qian Huang " , plus Chinese economy is added since this year fast put delay continuously, for a short while the international market is right Chinese economy or worry about those who lead to integral crisis to spreading ceaselessly.
"The fluidity of bank system is not in short supply. " conference chairman Shang Fulin shows Chinese silver-colored watch, suffer the effect of a variety of elements, near future market appeared the problem of insecurity of a few fluidity. But from look on the whole, the fluidity of our bank system is not in short supply. Up to on June 28, the equipment of full banking orgnaization pays Jin Yu the specified amount is 1.5 trillion yufree watch casean are controlled, tower above pays liquidation demand normally one times much still, deposit reserve is led also be in all the time 20% the left and right sides, pay cash abundant. These days the problem of insecurity of liquidity of the market between the bank, had begun to alleviate, this kind of circumstance won't affect the overall situation that our country banking runs smoothly.
In fact, this " Qian Huang " although caused the violent wind of interest rate of short-term loan of a person of same business between the bank,rise, did not produce substantial effect to the credit of hypostatic economy, still belong to the local sex risk that individual finance orgnaization produces. Shang Fulin thinks, these risks are in our country economy growth puts a few reaction among shunt of transition of delay, development, system, want to adopt correct risk canal to accuse measure only, these ventures can control.
brass faucet"China won't produce Qian Huang the 2nd round. " Li Daokui thinks, although Chinese banking system appeared really a few problems, state-owned bank loan is added fast very fast, "Cash give change " " money seeks fund " the circumstance of idling of this kind of capital exists really. But, actually the Central Bank stems from short-term policy to adjust the short-term policy that the consideration publishs to cause Qian Huang, be similar to current Qian Huang to will appear henceforth.
Certain international orgnaization is exaggerated financial venture
Although this " Qian Huang " disturbance is being appeased gradually, however the outside especially certain international orgnaization is right of this incident unscramble be magnified by ceaseless apply colours to a drawing however, the sound that calls empty China economy again cause a temporary clamor.
"Since half an year is much recently, international investor, especially wall street is telling a truth all the time, that is a Chinese economy is currentwatch case opener world economy major risk area, it is the biggest risk even. " Li Daokui expresses, since their reason erupts from financial crisis namely, arrive now, the credit gross of Chinese economy adds debt gross, the proportion that holds GDP broke up one time, the course that because this China economy must enter go,lever changes, this process will bring economic society queasy or concussion, growth rate can put delay.
"Although logic is clear, but this kind of notion is incorrect. " the reason that Li Daokui expresses to object has 3: The first, sithe most popular north face shirtsnce international banking crisis erupts, each main countries are enlarging governmental debt and Central Bank balance sheet, chinese economy accords with this trend, if which country is converse if acting, can appear instead problem; The 2nd, the point of growth with Chinese current economy is very clear, follow communal product namely, it is OK the part passfree norton internet antiviruses innovation, will lead investment through the means that collect fees, so Chinese economy still has the space that carries constant growth rate and latent capacity for some time in future; The 3rd, china should be started immediately a series of reform, solve these problems through reform, go out get rid of of bad debt bad Zhang, do not want bad debt bad Zhang to affect normal capital flow.
Rely on systematic reform to iron smooth finance is panicky
"This finance is panicky, should become ecbolic give a batch, a of package short-term reform main turning point. " Li Daokui expresses, "Qian Huang " tell us, chinese economy, especially Chinese finance is done not have so healthy, although crisis of short-term unapt occurrence banking, but if be not solved, this kind of panicky meeting spreads quickly. From long-term in light of, should progressively ground holds to the direction of a reform, it is a these fund that collect at the bank, how to guide other markets to go up, include the stock market and means of other and direct financing to wait, see dispute often be made clear from reform general orientation.
Li Daokui emphasizes, we should give Taichun to reform measure for a long time not only, and short-term also should publish measure of a few reform. It is the most important to look current and short-term in him those who solve is 3 things: The first should start civilian battalion investment quickly, want to encourage civilian the most popular norton internet antivirusbattalion capital to enter the investment field of a few accurate communal products especially, chinese economy is short-term most those who be short of is this kind of accurate communal product, the the most popular selling norton internet antivirusconstruction of the processing of air of construction of the construction that includes a city, subterranean canal net, punish, water, water; The 2nd harrison hot spring public poolthing, financial system itself must want to rectify, want a those bad debt, bad Zhang, improper loan, must cut clean like tumor; The 3harrison hot spring weather forecastrd thing, the fibrass faucet aerator nance of local government must want to rectify, they use those short-term a lot of projects that cannot see financial redound actually, serve as bait with them, borrowed a lot of loan.
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